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Danske Research Team underlines that the US–Iran conflict and closure risks in the Strait of Hormuz are heavily impacting energy markets. US gasoline prices have surged nearly 50% since hostilities began, and higher Oil prices are pressuring global bond yields and inflation expectations.

Elevated oil prices for a sustained period of time would tip the global economy into a recession, Moody’s Analytics’ head of international economics, Gaurav Ganguly, told CNBC, pegging the game-changing price at $125 per barrel of Brent crude. If prices go that high and stay that high long enough, t

Silver may test support near the four-month low of $61.01.

According to the European Central Bank's (ECB) quarterly Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF), inflation rate in the Eurozone is projected to average 2.7% in 2026 before softening to 2.1% in 2027 and 2% in 2028.

Crude prices appreciate again on Monday despite US President Donald Trump’s pledge to rescue Hormuz vessels. The US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) barrel trades at $99.40 at the time of writing, about $3 up from the daily opening price of $96.46.

A Russian tanker carrying crude from Sakhalin Island is set to arrive in Japan today in the latest sign energy-strapped importers are intent on securing any supply they can find, even from sanctioned suppliers. In fairness, the Sakhalin-2 project has been exempted from sanctions precisely because of

ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey say the Oil market has stabilised after a volatile week driven by concerns over Persian Gulf disruptions and the expiry of the ICE Brent Jun-26 contract.

Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes that EUR/USD has nearly returned to pre-war levels as the Euro (EUR) proves resilient and the US Dollar (USD) retreats. Markets expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to hike in June, but Nguyen doubts pricing for three hikes by year-end.

The USD/CAD pair recovers some lost ground near 1.3595 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The Canadian Dollar (CAD) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) on lower crude oil prices. The US and Canadian employment data for April will be the highlights later on Friday.

UOB strategists note that Brent crude has just recorded its largest monthly percentage decline since December 2025, despite briefly spiking above USD 126/bbl on renewed Strait of Hormuz concerns.

Danske Research Team reports that equities ended last week higher, led by tech and growth, even as Iran-related risks and higher Oil prices weighed on sentiment. They note a return of negative correlation between equities and bonds, with yields rising alongside stocks.

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength around 1.3600 during the early European session on Monday. Signals from the Bank of England (BoE) that suggest a potential shift toward higher interest rates later this year underpin the Pound Sterling (GBP) against the US Dollar (USD).