Haber Akışı

TD Securities strategist Bart Melek highlights that the Strait of Hormuz disruption has removed 9–10 million bbl/d from the market, keeping Brent near $100/bbl and potentially pushing it above $150/bbl.

Commerzbank analysts Michael Pfister and Norman Liebke argue that the Mexican Peso (MXN) is likely to weaken against the US Dollar (USD) in coming weeks as Banxico maintains a dovish stance despite rising inflation risks.

BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that expectations of progress toward peace in Iran are driving a bond rally and shaping flows in the United States (US) Treasury market. As Oil prices fall and real rates reprice, he argues exporter surpluses and reserve management trends could again favor the US Dollar (USD).

Nomura's research analysts report that the central bank of Norway, Norges Bank unexpectedly raised its policy rate by 25bp to 4.25% in May, citing frustration with sticky underlying inflation and a need to preserve credibility after earlier guidance.

USD/CAD trades around 1.3630 on Thursday at the time of writing, showing little change on the day, as lower Oil prices continue to weigh on the Canadian Dollar (CAD) while the US Dollar (USD) remains pressured as well.

ING’s Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note that industrial metals, including Copper, rallied on Wednesday as progress towards a US-Iran deal improved risk appetite and eased fears of an energy shock, before paring gains on Thursday.

TD Securities strategist Bart Melek argues that Gold’s recent decline reflects the Iran-driven Oil shock, higher inflation expectations and a firmer US Dollar, which are keeping Fed policy tighter for longer.

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) keeps marching higher at two-month highs against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, as reports of progress in the US-Iran peace deal and lower Oil prices keep demand for the safe-haven US Dollar subdued.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that the Dollar has given back all its war-related gains, with recent weakness seen as overdone.